It’s one thing to support your chosen party and candidate and to spread optimism among the activists; it’s quite another to try and sell a product that you predict is doomed to fail. It seems even the most die-hard of Democratic Party supporters don’t quite believe the hype surrounding former VP Joe Biden’s recent polling. Is this a case of once bitten, twice shy? Or could there be something more at play?
Predictable Failures?
Chris Kofinis, a Democratic pollster, said that anyone who buys into the polling about a huge Biden victory is forgetting the lessons of 2016. He stated:
“Anyone who believes that the Democratic candidate is headed for a landslide victory right now is doomed to repeat the tragic history of 2016... It’s a fundamental mistake for anyone to believe that reality can be projected or predicted based on these polls this far out from the general election.”
And this could be one of the reasons Democratic candidates are so keen to remove President Trump from office before it gets put to the people. If they have to fight a sitting president, the numbers may not go in their favor. Mike Pence is beginning to appear more and more the low-hanging fruit.
Media Thrills
In an almost salivating manner, major publishers like The New York Times and The Washington Post are starting to get excited. “More Brutal Polling for Trump,” is the cri de cœur, yet, without analysis, it seems the left-leaning media machines may end up doing more harm than good to their causes.
Confidence breeds complacency, and the more confidently pundits predict the downfall of President Trump, the more likely it becomes that we shall witness a re-run of 2016. The underdog story is a powerful narrative and one that Biden et al. should be capitalizing on, yet the media barrage against Trump has cast him in that most-envied role once more. Nobody likes a bully, nobody likes a bragger, and somehow, the most powerful man in the world is in a position where potential voters want to protect him from the henchmen of the Fake News.
Lessons from History
Despite the internet and left-leaning news stations salivating over recent Quinnipiac polling in Texas that had Biden beating Trump by four points, those who follow things a little more closely than just the headlines are not so convinced. An unnamed Democratic strategist speaking with The Hill said:
“The only thing we need to remember is that every single poll had Hillary Clinton winning and then she lost. I don’t put any stock in any poll, especially right now. I think Trump starts off in a strong position. Can he be beaten? Yes. But we’ll be going up against a machine and a very organized force. Don’t believe anyone who tells you Joe Biden or any Democrat is winning in Texas. That’s crazy. Give me a break.”
The issue for those committed to installing a Democrat president in the White House in 2020 is that the wrong narrative could lay all to waste. If the polling signals a “Biden Landslide,” then potential voters may decide to stay home secure in the knowledge that they’ll awake the morning after with Uncle Joe grinning and groping on their TV screens.
CBS News ran the headline, “New poll shows Biden beating Trump by a ‘landslide.’" Yet this was based on a national poll; the same type that gave Hillary Clinton a 90% plus chance of beating Donald Trump. In fact, the second paragraph pointed out that every single major contender for the throne scored higher than the president:
“The Democrats' lead ranges from five points for Cory Booker and Pete Buttigieg to 13 points for Biden. In between, Bernie Sanders leads Mr. Trump by nine points, Kamala Harris by eight, and Elizabeth Warren by seven.”
For some reason, this didn’t set alarm bells ringing.
Once again, it seems the left has forgotten how this game is played. It is the Electoral College vote that decides who wins the White House, not the numbers across the country. It may well turn out that Biden smashes Hillary’s 61.7% majority in California (2016), yet this still only gets him those same 55 EC votes. The election is won by getting as many states as possible to vote for you, not by securing more votes in states that would elect a squirrel if it were wearing a Democrat pin.
If there were a step-by-step gameplan for how to commit electoral suicide, it would appear that Democrat candidates, left-leaning media outlets, and even Uncle Joe himself have taken it from their mailboxes and are ticking boxes as they sip their morning coffee. I wonder if we’d recognize the return address in Washington D.C.?
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