The Political Horse Race – March 5th

Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe. Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.

The Candidates' Market Report

This week sees Kamala Harris hold her position at 5/2 as most favored Democrat with a surprise resurgence from Beto O'Rourke who now polls at 4/1 to be the next Democrat nominee. Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are holding steady at 5/1 to be the nominee, but are both 9/1 underdogs on gaining the presidency. Donald Trump remains the firm favorite to win the 2020 presidential election at 2/1. Corey Booker can kiss goodbye to his hopes this time around, as can Elizabeth Warren as they sink to a new low of 22/1 on defeating Donald Trump. In terms of approval polling, nobody is shining in glory this week. Trump's formerly strong 49% has dropped 2%, as has Mitch McConnel who began the week with a somewhat stagnant 27% only to see this figure cut further. Nancy Pelosi didn't fare much better dropping 1 point to 35%. Both the Senate and House leaders are still ahead of Congress as a whole which seems to be stuck around the 20% mark. In an Emerson poll for South Carolina matching President Trump against the leading Democrats, Trump maintained a solid lead against all contenders. In fact, he polled 12 points clear against Kamala Harris which could cause worry for the leading Dem candidate.

This Week’s Major Players

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and event.

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.