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Trump Names Warren
In a wide-ranging interview that received almost zero press coverage from the American media, President Donald Trump spoke with Mr. Brexit Nigel Farage, on the latter's LBC radio show. It was not only one of the most natural-sounding interviews the president has ever taken part in, but it had other firsts, too.
The president was asked flatly who he thought would be his competitor in the 2020 election, as you can read on Liberty Nation, he replied:
Well, it would look like Elizabeth Warren is picking up steam. She’s picking up a little steam. I thought she was gonzo. I call her Pocahontas because she lied about her Indian heritage. But she seems to be the one picking up steam, so it could be her.
It could be Bernie Sanders, I guess, maybe. I don’t know. Bernie looks like he’s shot. But it could be one of them. But in any … I know one person that’s going to say Trump is going to win. That’s Nigel, because you said that when it was less fashionable.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the president also took the opportunity to expound his thoughts on the job Democrats in the House and Senate are doing. He said:
[We’ve] done so much and the Democrats are doing terribly and the Do-nothing Democrats, the only thing they can do is this. In fact, they just had a vote on a procedure. I guess it’s procedural votes. They gave us absolutely no rights because they have the majority only in the House. And I didn’t have one negative Republican vote.
What to Watch For
After the House Democrats voted to proceed with impeachment measures strictly along party lines, teh president was left with at least one positive: not a single House Republican voted for the measure. This signifies that should impeachment proceedings make it to the Senate that he can be reasonably sure of support and ultimate acquittal.
White House Slips Away
Despite being the candidate President Trump thinks will be facing off against him in 2020, Elizabeth Warren should not be feeling a warm sense of security. Her polling numbers place her within grabbing distance of Joe Biden, and the betting odds on her winning the nomination are almost at Even Money. However, much to everyone's surprise, her odds of winning the presidency in 2020 are actually falling.
As Liberty Nation's Mark Angelides wrote this week:
President Trump has done nothing to shift his own odds up nor down. Other Democrats are slowly slipping to the sidelines. Warren should be climbing in the betting market, but she just isn’t. The reality is that winning the nomination is one thing, winning the White House is an entirely different game. It is easy to promise freebies and increasingly left-leaning tropes to those who already intend to vote Democrat regardless of the candidate. But convincing the vast swaths of the country that flushed red in 2016 that your last six months of promises will be good for them is a far tougher sell. This is not just an incumbent advantage, this is a necessary casualty of a heated primary.
Perhaps it's time to admit that despite a solid campaign, Elizabeth Warren does not have the national support to win the election.
What to Watch For
With Beto O'Rourke dropping out of the race, we will see a lot of shifts in the national polling. Where Beto's support will go is not clear, but based on his key platforms, it is unlikely to go to Joe Biden.
Washington Whispers & Other Juicy Tidbits
Be on the lookout for:
In the impeachment inquiry, be prepared for a string of witnesses being brought forward to suggest that President Trump engaged in nefarious behavior on his Ukraine phone call. Trump has threatened to do a fireside chat reading out the actual transcript.
The DNC is worrying that Tulsi Gabbard may try for a third-party run at teh White House. She is gaining support not just from Democrats, but also a smattering of Republicans. The numbers suggest that she could take 3% nationally if she gets a good campaign team in place. That 3% might just be enough to hand Donald Trump the popular vote.
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