The Candidates' Market Report
The country is dividing into two distinct camps: those that want the economy reopened as soon as possible and those that don't. With President Trump's phased plan to get state economies back up and running, it appears that some elected leaders would rather take the financial hit than putting citizens at risk... or would they? Some states that have very few COVID-19 infections are also looking to delay a relaxing of the guidelines; does this suggest that keeping the economy in a rocky position has more to do with the 2020 election than concern for the health and wellbeing of the residents? Republican voters certainly seem to think so. Now that Joe Biden's only real competitor is "the other Biden," the party machine has started rallying around him. However, in a sop to the progressive wing of the party, Biden himself has been trying to allow Bernie Sanders to hold onto all of his delegates. Under the usual party rules, Bernie should have forfeited over 300 delegates to Biden, the fact that the former VP wants Sanders to keep them suggests that he is trying to get the Bernie Bros onside. Is he hoping to avoid the humiliation of booing that took place in 2016 when Hillary Clinton's name was mentioned at the convention? In the wake of stalling extra funding for small businesses, Congress has lost the good will it had amassed in recent weeks. Loosing 7% in just a few days proves that the voters value action over partisanship.This Week’s Major Players
Approval Ratings:
- Donald Trump - 46% ( + 2% )
- Congress - 22% ( - 7% )
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.Democratic Party Nominee:
- Joe Biden - 1/25
- Hillary Clinton - 16/1
- Andrew Cuomo - 25/1
- Michelle Obama - 50/1
- Kamala Harris - 7/4
- Amy Klobuchar - 7/1
- Elizabeth Warren - 9/2
- Gretchen Whitmer - 15/2
Swing State Odds
Certain states hold the keys to power in 2020. The following are the ones that President Trump needs to do well in if he intends to serve another four years. As Liberty Nation's Tim Donner puts it: "Florida, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin - he must win Florida and two of the others to squeak by. In fact, if he wins the 27 other states he won in '16, he could win just one of Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin and still win with exactly 270 electoral votes. On the other hand, Virginia and Colorado will be telling - both swing states Trump lost in '16. A true bellwether is probably Minnesota, which he lost narrowly and is going after hard this time. Through all of this COVID stuff, I will stick with my prediction of 350 electoral votes or more, at least for now."- Florida: Republican - 5/6 Democrats - 5/6
- Arizona: Democrats - 4/6 Republicans - 11/10
- Michigan: Democrats - 4/9 Republicans - 6/4
- Wisconsin: Democrats - 8/11 Republicans - 10/11
Primary Races
The Democratic National Convention has been postponed and is expected to begin on August 17. Head over to Liberty Nation's Primary Tracker for all the latest results, odds, and polls.Presidential Election:
- Donald Trump - 5/6
- Joe Biden - 6/5
- Andrew Cuomo - 40/1
- Mike Pence - 40/1
- Hillary Clinton - 50/1
- Nikki Haley - 150/1
- Michelle Obama - 150/1
Donald Trump:
- Trump's party to win over 50 Senate seats - 5/6
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
~ Read more from Mark Angelides. For home study students and young people, Liberty Nation recommends...
