Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you will know that President Joe Biden has been sinking like a rock in the polls. But something is amiss. The numbers don’t add up. Is someone tampering with the polls? If so, why?
The Election Mafia
The legacy media often discredited Rasmussen Reports as an unserious “right-wing biased” company because it consistently produces polls to the right compared to most other established pollsters. However, that media conveniently forgets to mention that Rasmussen has a long track record of delivering the most accurate election predictions.
During the 2020 presidential election, the gap between Rasmussen and some other right-wing actors such as Trafalgar Group was wider than ever, in some cases more than ten percentage points. The reason appears to be that most pollsters dramatically oversample Democrats and thereby skew the polls toward the Democrat candidate, including the Fox News poll. We can only speculate whether this is due to incompetence or an active attempt to manipulate the public.
The Afghanistan Drop
After the disastrous and embarrassingly incompetent withdrawal from Afghanistan, Biden started sinking sharply in all the polls. However, he fell by only about 5% approval in the right-leaning surveys, whereas in the left-leaning ones such as YouGov and Quinnipiac, he plummeted by more than 10%. For instance, while Rasmussen currently has Biden at 43% approval, YouGov has him at 42%, and Quinnipiac at 38%.
There are multiple possible explanations for this realignment. A benevolent one is that Rasmussen samples “likely voters” who are more informed, while the left-leaning polls sample “all voters,” including those low-information voters who do not question the mainstream media. The Afghanistan debacle might have been such a monumental failure that even the uninformed caught wind of it.
Kamala Rising
Kamala Harris
(Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
A more cynical explanation is that certain Washington D.C. actors with strings to the mainstream polling companies who had manufactured an artificial Biden popularity changed their minds and decided to realign the polls with reality to show the extent of his unpopularity. It coincides with unusually critical voices in the legacy media.
Could it be that certain unelected players in the business of fortifying elections decided that the increasingly geriatric Biden is too much of a liability and are preparing for a change of power? If so, Vice President Kamala Harris could soon be our next commander-in-chief.
If this cynical hypothesis is correct, we can make specific predictions about what is to come. First, the mainstream media will strengthen its critique of Biden. Someone with public clout – perhaps former President Barack Obama – might tell reporters in an interview that “Joe has lost a step,” thereby legitimizing demands that Biden step down and hand over to Harris.
Second, a new narrative will be created that explains the Afghanistan failure and every other possible ill due to the failing mental acuities of the ailing Biden. Third, when Harris takes over, she will immediately jump in the left-leaning polls, but not in Rasmussen and Trafalgar. The poll realignment will end, and the mainstream polls will again show the Democrat candidate 5% more popular than the right-leaning polls, thereby leaving sufficient room for election fortification.
Which Explanation?
Reasonable people might hope the cause of Biden’s dramatic drop in left-leaning polls is the innocuous one because it indicates that even low-information voters are capable of learning and adjusting their views accordingly. However, if recent history is any guide, other forces may be at play.
~ Read more from Caroline Adana.
