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Iowa Poll Trouble – Race Still Up For Grabs

The seminal, final Iowa poll ran into a hiccup and everyone is still guessing who will win.

Editor’s note: Each Sunday, the chattering class fills American airwaves with the thoughts and opinions of Washington’s most powerful Swamp-dwellers. Often these interviews make headlines and inform the public about what to expect in the coming week. If you want to stay informed but don’t have the time to devote to all the political punditry, there is hope.  Liberty Nation author Kelli Ballard sifts through the shows for you and presents the high and lowlights in this weekly column.  

With a busy political week ahead of us, the weekend media was all aflutter about the Iowa caucuses and the upcoming, inevitable acquittal of President Donald Trump.

This Week With George Stephanopoulos – ABC

Mayor Pete Buttigieg joined the show to talk about his campaign strategy. What wasn’t part of the plan, however, was the Des Moines Register’s premiere Iowa poll; pulled because, apparently, the mayor was left out of some of the surveys. Of course, they wasted no opportunity for a chance to attack the president over the incident. Buttigieg quipped:

“I do think at a moment like this where you got a president routinely attacking the press, it’s worth remembering the integrity and the seriousness with which reporters and press take the work that they do and wanting to make absolutely sure that it’s accurate and strong.”

However, the poll was canceled because a Buttigieg fan complained about the omission, not because the paper noticed it. If the pollsters did notice, they didn’t bother to act until the complaint. Isn’t it ironic that the presidential candidate didn’t wonder how his own city could forget him? But in true leftist fashion, it was just another chance to take a poke at the president.

Later, FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-Chief Nate Silver joined in to give his take on the model for Iowa. He explained that to get the numbers, they take an average of all the polls and also try to account for the uncertainty of those who will likely change their minds after the events. According to Silver, the result is Bernie Sanders (I-VT) as the frontrunner with about a 40% chance of winning and Joe Biden with about a one-in-three chance.

“But it really is like at least a four-way race,” Silver said, adding, “Both Buttigieg and [Elizabeth] Warren have a strong game in Iowa.” He even said not to discount Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) because “we’ve seen crazier things.” He then warned, “The polls can shift a lot from the weekend before the caucus to the caucus itself. And so, don’t reduce it to a two-way race yet. We may end up there tomorrow night, but it’s a little premature to say that right now.”

In any case, it is going to be a heck of a week with the president’s State Of The Union address, the voting in Iowa, and the conclusion of the impeachment trial.

Stay tuned next week to see what innovative ways the left dreams up to misdirect and mislead the public.

~

Read more from Kelli Ballard.

Read More From Kelli Ballard

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