The Political Horse Race – May 21st

The polls, analysis, and betting odds - all right here at your fingertips each week on LibertyNation.com - Where Facts Matter.

The Candidates' Market Report

Recent polling points to a majority of American support for skills-based entry for new immigrants, suggesting that President Trump's latest "Build America" plan will gain traction. There was a positive reaction from 55% of likely voters to Senator Lindsey Graham’s statement that “we have a perfect storm brewing at the border because of a series of broken and outdated laws related to asylum and children.” Only 24% disagreed with his assessment. Despite gaining ground with his latest immigration proposals, the president appears to be suffering from the China trade war, seeing his approval ratings drop 6% over the period of a week - this is a major shift from his usual 2% variance which has become the standard over the last few months.

This Week’s Major Players

Approval Ratings:

• Donald Trump - 44% ( - 6% )
• Congress - 22% ( no change  )

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.

Democratic Party Nominee:

• Joe Biden - 11/5
• Bernie Sanders - 7/2
• Kamala Harris - 4/1
• Pete Buttigieg - 13/2
• Beto O'Rourke - 12/1
• Andrew Yang - 12/1

Former VP Joe Biden continues to solidify his lead in the Democrat pack as he squeezes another quarter point advantage over Bernie Sanders. Kamala Harris remains steadfastly on 4/1 and without a major campaign announcement looks set to be either just another runner up in an already crowded field - or perhaps there's a chance she'll be offered the number two spot on either a Biden of Sanders ticket? The rest of the field is staying where it is with little or no movement; this signifies that anyone who wanted to bet on the candidates has already done so and that they are failing to get the public excited. However, it can all change with on big policy platform shift.

Presidential Election:

Donald Trump:

• Impeachment - 1/8
• Resignation - 9/1
• Trump to publish the precise dimensions of his hands to his Twitter account - 50/1
• The Queen to ban Trump from the UK - 100/1

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.

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