The Political Horse Race – March 19th

Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe. Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.

The Candidates' Market Report

Approval ratings remain fairly steady for all the major players this week. None of the leaders have increased their favorability, and seem unlikely to make any big shifts unless a significant political event casts them in the spotlight. Where the real action lies is in the Democratic nomination race. As Beto O'Rourke has now made his presidential run official, we see a tightening of the field for all the key candidates: Harris, O'Rourke, Biden, and Sanders. While Kamala Harris still holds the lead with an 11 to 4 shot of becoming the nominee, both Bernie Sanders and Beto O'Rourke are hot on her heels tied at 7 to 2. That's less than a point's difference between the three main contenders. Not to be ignored, former VP Joe Biden is only half a point behind Bernie and Beto on 4 to 1. This is set to be a close contest. But what does the closeness of the race reflect in reality? Quite simply, it shows that this will be a bloodbath of backstabbings and snipes; each contender seeking to gain the edge over the other. In fact, with a race this close, and voters getting so invested in their chosen champion, President Trump just has to sit back and let them destroy themselves.

This Week’s Major Players

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.