Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe.
Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.
The Candidates’ Market Report
Donald Trump bounces back to his 50% approval ratings up 3 points from last week. This puts him at exactly the same favorability as he was this same time last year.
The Democratic nominee field is tightening up. Beto O’Rourke and Bernie Sanders are both tied on 4 to 1, but are still trailing half a point behind the favorite, Kamala Harris. Harris has been hitting the lead spot for over a month now, yet she is still failing to make inroads in the actual chance of winning the election.
Elizabeth Warren has pulled ahead of Cory Booker but both are still extreme longshots on getting the candidacy. The latest Democrat to announce his run, John Hickenlooper, enters the field at 40 to 1 and looks unlikely to improve his position.
The latest polling out of Michigan could send up danger signals for both parties. In 2016, Michigan voted 47.50% for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton’s 47.27%. The polls in match-ups between Democrat potential candidates show the only person with a clear advantage over Trump (although the Dem candidate wins in all match-ups), and that is Joe Biden, the former VP. The problem for the DNC is that Biden has only a 7 to 1 shot at winning the presidency. The only other sure-fire contender in Michigan against Trump is Amy Klobuchar who polled 6 points ahead but only has a 20 to 1 chance of gaining the Oval Office.
This Week’s Major Players
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.