The Political Horse Race – April 30th

Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe. Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.

The Candidates' Market Report

Now that former VP Joe Biden is finally in the running, he has started his climb towards the top of the charts in both polling and cash money betting. He and Bernie Sanders are almost neck and neck to get the Democrat nomination, and there's only one point difference between them to take the presidency. Both men are still far behind President Trump. Kamala Harris is treading water this week, making neither gains or losses, but hovering comfortably in third place behind Joe and Bernie. The only threat to knocking her from the Bronze Medal is relative newcomer Pete Buttigieg, who made a dramatic surge to 9/1 - just a point and a half behind Harris. Texas Dem primary polling has Biden as the only candidate who could beat Trump; in all other match-ups, the incumbent sweeps the board. While Bernie Sanders is still the favorite to win the nomination on 13/5, only the New Hampshire primary poll has him beating Biden. If he can't start getting his polling numbers up soon, the major campaign money is going to start heading in Uncle Joe's direction.

This Week’s Major Players

Approval Ratings:

• Donald Trump - 49% ( no change )
• Congress - 21% ( no change )
• Nancy Pelosi - 37% ( + 1% )
• Mitch McConnell - 24% ( + 1% )
• Chuck Schumer - 28% ( - 2%)

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.

Donald Trump:

• Impeachment - 1/8
• Resignation - 6/1
• Complete First Term - 1-7
• SCOTUS Rule AGAINST National Emergency - 5/2
• Trump to paint the exterior of the White House Gold - 500/1

Presidential Election:

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.

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