The Candidates' Market Report
This last week has given Trump quite a boost with a swing toward an Electoral College victory. His job approval numbers have reached 52%, just one point below his all-time high, and although almost all major polling still gives Joe Biden the lead, the battleground states are where the election will be won. On most major issues, polling shows that Biden and Trump are neck and neck in terms of voter trust. When it comes to job creation and the economy, it seems Trump is slightly more favored, although on public safety Biden has the edge. The question remains which of these two driving factors will convince the voters when they step into the booth. Rasmussen's White House Watch shows Biden with a four-point lead this week, an increase on last week. Although, President Trump's support among black voters appears to be remaining steady and could prove decisive on November 3.This Week’s Major Players
Approval Ratings:
- Donald Trump - 52% ( + 6% )
- Congress - 18% ( - 2% )
Senate Map:
When it comes to presidential elections, the shape of the next Senate is often overlooked. Here's a round-up of what the polls are saying right now:- Republicans: 46
- Democrats (including Independents who caucus with Dems): 45
- Toss Up: 9
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.Swing State Odds
Certain states hold the keys to power in 2020. These are the states that are most likely in play and what the betting odds suggest. Florida- Democrats - 4/5
- Republicans - 10/11
- Republicans - 1/4
- Democrats - 5/2
- Democrats - 8/11
- Republicans - Even
- Democrats - 1/8
- Republicans - 9/2
- Republicans - 4/11
- Democrats - 15/8
- Republicans - 4/11
- Democrats - 15/8
- Democrats - 2/9
- Republicans - 4/1
- Democrats - 4/11
- Republicans - 15/8
- Republicans - 4/5
- Democrats - 10/11
- Republicans - 1/2
- Democrats - 13/8
- Democrats - 8/15
- Republicans - 11/8
Presidential Election:
- Joe Biden - 8/11
- Donald Trump - 6/5
- Kamala Harris - 66/1
- Hillary Clinton - 150/1
- Mike Pence - 175/1
- Michelle Obama - 250/1
- Kanye West - 500/1
- Bernie Sanders - no odds under 500/1
Donald Trump and the Electoral College:
- 270 - 299 = 5/1
- 300 - 329 = 5/1
- 180 - 209 = 11/2
- 210 - 239 = 11/2
- 330 - 359 = 6/1
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
~ Read more from Mark Angelides.

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