The left and the media are convinced that President Donald Trump is a danger to democracy, a racist, and a narcissist who no-one likes. They are confident that he will lose firmly to Joe Biden in November. But what if Trump not only wins but landslides? Will this wake people up from their Trump Derangement Syndrome, or will it result in even more polarization and antagonism?
At the peak of the Coronavirus crisis, President Donald Trump’s approval rating was at its highest level since his election. The George Floyd shooting and riots, however, sent his numbers in a downward spiral. Polling showed a massive lead for Biden. In early July, Quinnipiac even showed a 24-point lead over Trump. The media were reporting a coming Biden landslide and openly speculated if an unwilling Trump would have to be escorted by the military from the White House.
However, in 2016, almost all polls were wrong, except Rasmussen and a small handful of others. Those who predicted a win for Hillary Clinton failed to gauge the silent Trump supporters; today, this secret support is likely even higher. Many Americans are terrified of the violent radical left. They are afraid of being canceled, losing their jobs, being beaten senseless, or even killed. Therefore, they are silent, or they choose not to be honest regarding who they will vote for in November.
If Rasmussen is as accurate today as in 2016, Trump may be heading for a monumental landslide. Its most recent poll shows a surprising surge of support among black voters. In August, almost a third of black voters said they would be voting for President Trump. He is also polling exceptionally well among other minorities.
The demographics of the electoral college is such that if Republicans gain more than 15% support among blacks, the Democrats will likely never win another election. If Rasmussen’s poll is even remotely close to accurate, Trump may get 25% or more of the black vote. If that should happen, Trump would win not only the electoral college but perhaps even the popular vote. Also, it would not be unlikely that the Republicans win back Congress and maintain their majority in the Senate.
Suppose all of this happens in November: Trump sweeps nearly everything, surging numbers among minorities, the popular vote, and both houses. How will the Democrats react? Will it lead to riots?
Despite the radicalization of the Democratic Party, most of its voters are moderate. If they expect a Biden landslide but get the exact opposite, it could guide them to the point of self-realization. If they were so wrong in their expectations, what else did they get equally wrong? Any person curious about the truth will wonder why the alleged racist Trump scored the largest Republican vote tally among non-whites in a century. Could it be that he is not a racist after all?
Although the most radical surely will suffer from cognitive dissonance and deny the result, a significant shock or crisis is often sufficient to make a house of cards collapse. The coming election, therefore, provides one of the most intriguing psychological experiments in American history.
Read more from Onar Åm.
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