The polls, analysis, and betting odds — all right here at your fingertips each week on LibertyNation.com — Where Facts Matter.
The Candidates’ Market Report
This should have been the week in which President Trump saw his numbers plummet. After facing the backlash over his tweets aimed at the new intake of Congresswomen, many suspected that the president would take a major hit. But not so. In fact, a four-point bump shows that the press screeching is not doing them any favors. Is this down to American voters agreeing with Trump’s premise, or is more likely that it is the unpopularity of “the Squad” that is driving his booming numbers?
A recent polling of swing voters suggested Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez had a 22% approval rating and Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota had only 9%.
This Week’s Major Players
- Donald Trump – 50% ( + 4% )
- Congress – 18% ( no change )
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.
Democratic Party Nominee:
- Kamala Harris – 2/1
- Elizabeth Warren – 16/5
- Joe Biden – 4/1
- Pete Buttigieg – 13/2
- Bernie Sanders – 15/2
- Andrew Yang – 14/1
Kamala Harris holds her now steady 2/1 lead in the Democratic Party nomination race while all other contenders (excluding Joe Biden) have slipped. Second place Elizabeth Warren has slipped, as has Bernie Sanders, suggesting that Harris will be able to leverage herself onto either of their tickets as either the lead candidate or the VP.
Harris’s avoidance of putting forward policies may prove to be a smart move in the primary but could hurt her down the line if she wins the nomination.
- Donald Trump – Even
- Kamala Harris – 4/1
- Elizabeth Warren – 11/2
- Joe Biden – 15/2
- Pete Buttigieg – 12/1
- Bernie Sanders – 12/1
- Andrew Yang – 18/1
- Cory Booker – 30/1
- Amy Klobuchar – 33/1
- Beto O’Rourke – 40/1
There’s a lot of half-point shifting this week, but none of the Democrat candidates have yet managed to break the 4/1 ceiling. It is becoming abundantly clear that the final slot will be filled by either Harris, Biden, or Warren, none of who have yet to make a dent in the Trump campaign.
With Trump’s approval rating sitting solid at 50%, the chance of a Democrat win seems unlikely.
- Impeachment – 1/6
- Resignation – 1/12
- Trump to open Area 51 to the public during his first term in office – 2/1
- Donald Trump Approval Rating drop below 20% during his 1st Term – 2/1
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
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