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The Political Horse Race – April 23rd

All the numbers that matter in politics this week.

by | Apr 23, 2019 | Articles, Columns, Politics

Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe.

Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.

The Candidates’ Market Report

The main political players are hovering on pretty much the same approval ratings they’ve had for the last couple of months, only one or two point shifts in either direction.

President Trump failed to gain the expected popularity boost upon release of the Mueller report clearing him of conspiracy.

The latest Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus poll has Biden and Sanders tied, with a surprise third place for Pete Buttigieg. Morning Consult still has Biden 8 points clear of Sanders.

In the race for Democratic Party nominee, both Harris and Buttigieg have slipped – not much – but there is a definite incremental boost for Bernie Sanders ahead of the rest of the pack. The DNC problem child, Joe Biden appears to be holding steady at 5/1, a position that hasn’t changed in the last month.

Seth Moulton, the latest Dem to throw his hat into the crowded ring is currently a long shot on 100/1.

This Week’s Major Players

Approval Ratings:

  • Donald Trump – 49% ( – 1% )
  • Congress – 21% ( -2% )
  • Nancy Pelosi – 36% ( – 1% )
  • Mitch McConnell – 23% ( no change )
  • Chuck Schumer – 30% ( + 2%)

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.

Donald Trump:

  • Impeachment – 1/8
  • Resignation – 6/1
  • Complete First Term – 1-7
  • Trump to Remarry While in Office – 50/1
  • Trump to withdraw the US from the UN – 7/1

Presidential Election:

  • Donald Trump – 6/5
  • Bernie Sanders – 5/1
  • Kamala Harris – 7/1
  • Pete Buttigieg – 15/2
  • Joe Biden – 9/1
  • Beto O’Rourke – 12/1
  • Andrew Yang – 22/1
  • Elizabeth Warren – 33/1
  • Cory Booker – 33/1
  • Amy Klobuchar – 33/1
  • Stephanie Clifford (Stormy Daniels) – 500/1

Democratic Party Nominee:

  • Bernie Sanders – 13/5
  • Kamala Harris – 4/1
  • Pete Buttigieg – 9/2
  • Joe Biden – 5/1
  • Beto ORourke – 7/1
  • Andrew Yang – 14/1

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.

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