We hold these truths to be self-evident: Most Democrats and Republicans will vote for whomever their party puts forth – assuming they can be motivated to head to the polls at all. The voters whom either side must target after the primaries are those unaffiliated folk. It means nothing for Democrats facing the midterms or Joe Biden’s chances for re-election – should he run in 2024 – that almost all Republicans disapprove of the president’s performance. Republicans don’t tend to elect Democrat officials anyway. But that more than two-thirds of independent voters say he shouldn’t even run in 2024 is devastating news for the current president.
Even Trump is Better Than Biden
A survey of 1,998 registered voters by Politico/Morning Consult shows that, while unaffiliated voters don’t really want Donald Trump to run again in 2024, most would prefer him over Biden. That must be quite a blow to the guy whose core platform was simply not being Trump. A decent majority – 59% – said they didn’t want Trump in 2024, with 31% saying he should run. Biden fared much worse, however, with 67% saying he shouldn’t run. Only 23% said Biden should try for a second term. His fellow Democrat superstars didn’t do any better, though. Vice President Kamala Harris only got 31% support amongst independents, while a mere 14% would back Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.
It’s unclear as to whether Donald Trump will run for president again in 2024, though it certainly seems likely, as he has remained fairly politically active since the 2020 election. As for Biden, he was in his late 70s and clearly in cognitive decline when he ran and won in 2020. Can he really be expected to hold up for another three years for an election in his 80s? Even if he’s up to it, America has plenty of reasons to pass him up. As Liberty Nation’s Tim Donner put it, “Joe Biden has been increasingly unpopular from the moment he had to make his first serious decision beyond reversing everything Trump did.”
Building Back Better – Without Biden
Americans in general – including a majority of independent voters – think the current administration is failing, and they don’t want Biden, Harris, or Buttigieg in the 2024 lineup. That’s bad news for the Democratic Party come 2022 and 2024. While the left and the activist media hope to use the chance that Trump might run again or that the Supreme Court will overturn Roe v Wade to scare even moderate Democrats to the polls in November, a good many of those who voted for Biden may be regretting their ballot.
Not only does a so-called red wave seem imminent, but enthusiasm for the Biden legislative agenda is drying up as well. The Build Back Better Act – once thought to be the president’s crowning achievement for 2021 – now seems unlikely to pass this year. Between this dwindling support and Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-WV) opposition to certain issues in the act, like the lack of integrity in cost reporting, for example, it seems the longer this fight drags on, the less likely Team Biden is to win it. If Democrats lose either the House or the Senate in 2022, and Biden doesn’t get what could have been his magnum opus, then his administration is dead in the water.
~ Read more from James Fite.