A member of the Norwegian parliament, Christian Tybring-Gjedde, has formally nominated President Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize for his role in the Abraham Accord, a peace treaty between Israel and the United Arab Emirates.
“He has done more to create peace between nations than most other Nobel laureates,” Tybring-Gjedde told Fox News in an interview.
“Since it is expected that other nations in the Middle East will follow the Emirates, the treaty can be a turning point that transforms the Middle East into a region of cooperation and progress,” he added.
Recently, Trump also announced an economic renormalization between the former Balkan enemies Serbia and Kosovo. As part of the deal, Kosovo has normalized its relations with Israel. Serbia has also agreed to move its embassy to Jerusalem, thereby further cementing the momentum of the Abraham Accord.
Tybring-Gjedde also nominated Trump in 2018 for his work in normalizing relations with North Korea, but this time the results are more substantial.
However, given the political climate in Europe, the probability of a Nobel Prize for Trump is slim. He is still perceived as a polarizing figure, and his “peace through strength” strategy is considered highly controversial among the European political establishment.
To illustrate this, consider that after the announced economic normalization between Serbia and Kosovo, the European Union (E.U.) warned Serbia and Kosovo that if they move their embassies to Jerusalem, it could damage their chances of becoming members.
European Commission Spokesman Peter Stano warned that “there is no E.U. member state with an embassy in Jerusalem,” and that “any diplomatic steps that could call into question the E.U.’s common position on Jerusalem are a matter of serious concern and regret.”
In other words, Trump’s brokered peace treaty is, in part, vigorously opposed by the E.U. The idea is that recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel would be an unnecessary provocation and a hindrance to peace.
The Nobel Committee, consisting of members appointed by the Norwegian parliament, is likely in alignment with this view. Therefore, this aspect of the Abraham Accord is probably a showstopper for a Nobel Peace Prize.
An October Surprise?
Given that 2020 is vying to be the greatest aberration in modern history and 2021 shaping up to be a continuation, hell could freeze over, and the Norwegian Nobel Committee could feel forced to give the prize to Trump to remain a credible institution.
If that happens, it will amount to a spectacular October surprise for the 2020 presidential election. It would further erode the narrative that the president is a warmonger and could give him an unexpected boost just before people enter the voting booths.
More realistically, some unknown person from a developing nation might receive the award for a modest contribution in a minor conflict with which no-one is familiar.
*Trump has been included in the 2021 nominations and so any benefit to his political standing may not be felt until next year.
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