It looks like that Blue Wave the left was hoping for might not happen in the way they expect. According to recent surveys, millennials — one of the most important voting groups for Democrats — aren’t as gung-ho about voting in leftist politicians as it seems.
The latest surveys reveal two inconvenient truths for the Democrats:
1. Millennials are not enthusiastic about the left’s policies. Indeed, a significant number favor President Trump’s approach to governing.
2. A large number of millennials will likely not show up to vote as they have in previous years.
The results of these studies demonstrate that the Democratic party is in a precarious situation. Their lead in the midterm elections has dropped considerably, which will make it harder for them to regain control of Congress.
Millennials Are Not Crazy About The Democrats
A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that support for Democrats among millennials had decreased sharply from last year. The study included input from over 16,000 voters between the ages of 18 and 34. This formerly reliable base has fallen by about nine percentage points over the past two years. The number of voters in this age group has stated that “the Republican Party is a better steward of the economy.”
The result of the poll doesn’t necessarily show that younger voters have a favorable opinion of President Trump. Two out of three millennial voters indicated that they did not like the president, but their opinion of Trump does not color their views towards other GOP politicians. It also does not indicate that they cast their votes for Democrats. It is clear that the left-wing party’s chances of taking over the House of Representative are in jeopardy.
Reuters spoke with Terry Hood, a 34-year-old black American who works at the Dollar General store in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. He stated that while he voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, he would consider supporting a Republican candidate for Congress because they have made it easier to find work. Indeed, the GOP’s policies have driven unemployment in the black community to historic lows. “It sounds strange to me to say this about the Republicans, but they’re helping with even the small things,” Hood told Reuters. “They’re taking less taxes out of my paycheck. I notice that.”
The poll surveyed millennial voters during the first three months of 2018 and also the same period in 2016. 28% of participants supported Republicans this year — the same number as they did in 2016. However, an increasing number of young voters indicated that they “were undecided, would support a third-party candidate, or not vote at all.” It appears that one of the main threats to Democrats in the midterms is the fact that many millennials will not show up to vote.
Millennials Are Less Likely To Turn Out For The Midterm Elections
A significant number of millennial voters have lost faith in the Democratic Party, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they will all vote for GOP candidates. While the majority of millennials still favor Democrats, it is likely that these individuals will not show up to vote in the 2018 midterm elections. Millennial voter turnout has decreased over the past few years. Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg told The Atlantic that there is a “very real risk” that the downward trend might continue in 2018.
It’s not only the millennials that the Democrats are losing. Surveys released by CNN and Pew Research Center showed that voters aged 35 and older were split 50/50 between the two parties. Moreover, voters over the age of 50 favored GOP candidates — and they are more likely to vote in the midterm elections.
Is The Blue Wave Going To Crash In November?
Only a few months ago, the left was certain that the vaunted Blue Wave was coming. You can’t blame them — they had a significant lead over Republican candidates. However, it appears that their celebrations were premature. In only a few months, their lead has dissipated considerably.
Historically, the party that wins the presidency loses control of one or both houses of Congress. However, new statistics show that this may not be on the cards for the Democrats in November. It is entirely possible that the GOP will retain control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Either way, these numbers demonstrate that the American public isn’t as excited about the Democrats as the media portrays. It appears that “we hate Trump” is not a very effective political platform after all. Nevertheless, conservatives cannot become complacent. While these numbers are encouraging, the Democrats still have a viable chance at winning big. It is not only a civic responsibility to get out and vote, it is entirely possible that this time, every vote will count.