Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe.
Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.
The Candidates’ Market Report
President Trump’s approval rating took a 3 point hit this week, but that’s before news of no collusion or obstruction filtered through to the public, so expect an upswing over the next few days. Nancy Pelosi gains yet another point in her approval up to 38% putting her well clear of Mitch McConnell (languishing on 24%) and Congress.
The major news this week is in the betting odds, which tend to give a more up to date picture over polling. The odds on Trump being impeached took a nose dive, and you’ll now only make 13 cents on a dollar bet on him staying right where he is.
After an almost endless week of Democrat candidates parading across our screens, the race has really tightened up. Harris, Biden, and Sanders are all level pegging at 7 to 2 to be the nominee with Beto behind by just half a point. The next most likely nominee is a South Carolina mayor, Pete Buttigieg coming from nowhere to take the lead over Booker, Warren, Yang, and Klobuchar at 12 to 1. As a gay married Christian, Buttigieg has likely drawn the good odds based on intersectional value rather than his policy platform.
News of the Mueller report and it’s implications (or lack thereof) has widened the gap for President Trump to beat out any Democrat contenders in 2020. He now stands at 6 to 4 to get re-elected while his closest challengers are stuck at 6 to 1. Once the dust settles, this will likely widen even more.
This Week’s Major Players
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
