The polls, analysis, and betting odds — all right here at your fingertips each week on LibertyNation.com — Where Facts Matter.
The Candidates’ Market Report
It’s an overall positive week for both Trump and Congress; each received a 2% bump that sits them firmly back in the same situation they have been hovering for the last year. Something worth considering is that there has been almost no major movement in approval ratings for anybody over the last couple of years. This signifies two things:
- Whatever is being thrown at President Trump doesn’t appear to be sticking.
- The Democrats, perhaps due to such a crowded contender field, have yet to find a unifying message.
As the specter of the Mueller probe gasps its last breath, expect Trump’s approval to jump at least 3 points over the next couple of weeks.
This Week’s Major Players
- Donald Trump – 48% ( + 2% )
- Congress – 21% ( + 3% )
What the Gamblers Say
As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.
Democratic Party Nominee:
- Joe Biden – 2/1
- Bernie Sanders – 7/2
- Kamala Harris – 9/2
- Pete Buttigieg – 13/2
- Beto O’Rourke – 12/1
- Andrew Yang – 12/1
The major news on Democrat candidates this week is that there has been no movement whatsoever. What this means, in reality, is that no money is being placed on candidates. This could be because the debate season is about to start heating up, but the more likely reason is that the candidates are failing to distinguish themselves.
It appears that none of the contenders is making a run for the end zone; they are all quietly waiting out the others in hope that an opponent will put a foot wrong and lose position. This is a risky strategy because if a candidate makes a positive move forward, all the others must try and catch up from a standing start.
- Donald Trump – Even
- Joe Biden – 4/1
- Bernie Sanders – 13/2
- Kamala Harris – 8/1
- Pete Buttigieg – 11/1
- Beto O’Rourke – 20/1
- Elizabeth Warren – 20/1
- Andrew Yang – 20/1
- Cory Booker – 33/1
- Amy Klobuchar – 33/1
- Eric Swalwell – 175/1
Biden remains a steady underdog on 4/1 while the president sits happily on even money. Sanders drops half a point signifying that Biden is securing his spot as the top contender, while Kamala Harris drops a whole point – perhaps in response to her attempts at gutting the 10th Amendment this week.
As the DNC tries to introduce new qualifications for taking part in the debates, the outside shot candidates drift further back. Is this a realization that having so many candidates on stage and in the field can only lead to internecine bloodshed? Or have the upper-echelon come to the conclusion that cash in someone else’s pocket will hinder their own campaign?
- Impeachment – 1/8
- Resignation – 9/1
- Trump to open Area 51 to the public during his first term in office – 33/1
- Any Mexican airport to be named after Trump – 66/1
Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.
At Liberty Nation, we love to hear from our readers. Comment and join the conversation!