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The Political Horse Race – April 16th

All the numbers that matter in politics this week.

by | Apr 16, 2019 | Articles, Columns, Politics

Every single week there are changes in how the American people see their political system. Whether President Trump’s approval ratings are going up or down, if House Democrats are more or less unpopular than Republicans, these views are flighty, oft-changing, and on occasion, difficult to believe.

Liberty Nation presents our round-up of all the key numbers that you, as the informed political news hound, need to know. The figures are taken from a variety of sources to provide the most up-to-date information.

The Candidates’ Market Report

Former VP Joe Biden is slipping away in the betting odds but still outpolling the rest of the packed Democrat field in numbers that the DNC will be unable to ignore. The only person coming close is Bernie Sanders who is now at 5 to 1 to become president (still a long way off Trump’s 6/5) and the 11 to 4 favorite to be the next nominee.

A California primary poll and an Iowa caucus both have Biden winning the nomination on +8 and +11 respectively. In fact, it’s hard to find a poll that doesn’t place Uncle Joe with a firm lead.

In Emerson match-up polls, Sanders, Biden, and O’Rourke all have the president beaten, but newcomer Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren fall far behind.

It looks like the DNC will have a battle on their hands between Biden and Sanders as Kamala Harris, despite reasonably strong polling, seems to be dropping off the radar.

This Week’s Major Players

What the Gamblers Say

As with most things, if you follow the money, you can’t go too far wrong. This is a selection of the odds for key races and events.

Make sure to check back next week for all the numbers that count.

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