For several months, the legacy media has endlessly claimed a “blue wave” was coming and that House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was going to ride the tsunami-like current to become the next Speaker of the House. But after several weeks of endorsing liberal mobs and smear tactics, it appears the blue wave is crashing into a red wall.

According to a new poll from NBC News, conservatives have surpassed liberals in early voting in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee, and Texas. Only in Nevada have left-leaning voters beat conservatives so far.

It also revealed that Trump’s approval rating is currently at 47%, his all-time high according to this poll. The president’s approval is also notable because it’s two points higher than Barack Obama’s at the same time in his presidency.

Is It 2016 Again?

While the numbers appear very favorable for the GOP and Trump, many are wondering if these initial ballots actually matter. How often does the party with higher early voting turnout win? The election just two years ago shows that it can be a reliable indicator.

In 2016, RealClearPolitics projected before the November midterms that the GOP and Democratic Party would each keep control of 46 seats in the Senate and that eight would be up for grabs. The “toss-up seats were Republican Sens. Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, Marco Rubio of Florida, Richard Burr of North Carolina, Roy Blunt of Missouri, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin. Two other seats were vacated and open in Indiana and Nevada.

Of those eight races, which were labeled toss-ups and too close to predict by the experts, the Republicans won six. The GOP only lost in New Hampshire and Nevada. This gave Republicans a 52-48 majority in the Senate, which has since dwindled down to 51-49 after Democrat Doug Jones upset Republican Roy Moore in Alabama last December.

In 2016, the GOP finished with a 241 to 194 majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. As noted by The New York Times, there were 18 House seats that were considered toss-ups. Of those, the GOP won 13.

Red Wave Rising

Not many in the media are analyzing the data from 2016 to help them make a determination about how the 2018 midterms will shape-up. Given that many are still upset over Hillary Clinton’s catastrophic defeat, most liberals don’t even want to talk about the election from two years ago.

If conservatives continue at this pace, the GOP is on track to keep control of the House and net at least two seats in the Senate.

There are noticeable trends from 2016 that are visible in the new NBC poll, including a surge in key topics such as immigration. With many Democrats supporting open borders, it’s clear which party has been fighting to combat illegal immigration.

The latest data strongly suggest that Democrats embracing leftist mobs and smear tactics has ignited conservative voters, who are already turning out to vote. It would certainly appear that Republicans can’t get to the polls fast enough to help prevent the Democrats from regaining power.

Voters Rejecting Liberals

Another key finding from the NBC poll is that voters appear to be rejecting many of the more radical Democratic candidates.

Florida Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson has come under fire for appearing to use emails for Hurricane Michael victims as a means to collect money for Democrats. Tennessee Democrat Phil Bredesen was recently busted on camera flip-flopping on positions to mislead voters. And in Texas, Democratic Rep. Robert O’Rourke’s use of the fake name “Beto” failed to resonate with voters – as did his call to impeach Trump.

These notable Democrats, as well as others in red states that Trump won in 2016, seem to be paying the price at the ballot box. If conservative and moderate voters continue at this pace, it would certainly appear that not only is a red wave coming – it’s here.