As you already know, the midterms are approaching fast. Earlier this year, many predicted a “blue wave” that would sweep America as the Democrats gained control of both houses of Congress. Indeed, pundits on both sides warned that GOP candidates were in a precarious position.
But the polls now show that the Democrats are losing that lead. The blue wave, it seems, may be just a ripple after all. We can’t get complacent though; they are still ahead, even if only just slightly.
Democrats’ Lead Decreases in the Polls
CNN released a poll showing that 47% of voters favored Democrats while 44% favored Republicans. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Sunday showed that 42% would vote for Democrats while 34% would vote for a GOP candidate.
Interestingly enough, another Reuters poll showed that the GOP had a 1.4% advantage. Overall, it seems the Democrats still have a lead; it just isn’t as strong as they would like us to believe. However, this is not the time to become overconfident. The fact that a Democratic sweep is unlikely does not mean that conservatives can afford to stay home in November.
Conservatives Can’t Become Complacent
One thing is clear: The midterm elections will be close. In 2016, Democrat voters did not show up to vote in the same numbers they had previously. Many felt that Clinton’s victory was in the bag, so there was no need to show up at the polls. Others did not like Clinton enough to vote for her. You can bet they won’t repeat this mistake.
We can look at the Texas election for an indication of potential voter turnout among Democrats. Early voting numbers show that Texan Democrats are energizing; they have nearly doubled their early voting turnout when compared to the 2014 midterms. GOP voter turnout, on the other hand, decreased by about 37%.
At a recent GOP event, Senator Ted Cruz – who is only 3 points ahead of his Democratic challenger – said that Texas Democrats “will crawl over broken glass in November to vote.” Governor Greg Abbott has also expressed concern over the midterm elections. Sure, early voting numbers aren’t always the best way to determine voter enthusiasm, but it is an indication that the Democrats are intent on electing more of their party’s candidates.
The midterm elections are extremely important if we want to see President Trump move our agenda forward. If the Democrats manage to gain control of Congress, there is no doubt they will attempt to impeach him. Of course, it is unlikely that they will succeed, but we already know they will work hard to obstruct any initiative he wishes to undertake. If we want to ensure that the left is unable to stop the conservative movement, we must make sure that we do our part and turn out to vote in November.